Commit Graph

460 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Celes Renata 9a60ce127b fix: overlay Polygon prices on positions instead of stale Alpaca prices
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Alpaca paper trading returns inaccurate current_price values.
The positions endpoint now uses the latest Polygon close from
market_snapshots and recomputes unrealized P&L from that.
2026-04-30 22:32:21 +00:00
Celes Renata 414f476620 fix: auto-backfill market data on startup + fix trading dedup bug
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1. Add backfill-market-data init container to scheduler deployment.
   On vanilla start (< 50 bars in market_snapshots), fetches 90 days
   of daily OHLCV from Polygon directly via asyncpg + httpx.

2. Fix trading engine dedup key placement. Previously the Redis dedup
   key was set BEFORE evaluate_recommendation(), so recs skipped as
   outside_trading_window were permanently deduped and never retried
   when the market opened. Now the dedup key is only set AFTER the
   decision for non-retryable outcomes (act, confidence_too_low, etc).
   outside_trading_window skips are retryable.
2026-04-30 14:08:54 +00:00
Celes Renata a5f2bcde55 fix: set MARKET_DATA_BASE_URL to polygon in base values.yaml
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2026-04-30 07:20:13 +00:00
Celes Renata 34ffdad00c fix: wait for scheduler migrations after factory reset scale-up
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After scale_up, restart the scheduler and wait for it to be ready
before other services start. The scheduler's init containers run
migrations, so this ensures tables exist before ingestion/extractor
pods try to query them.
2026-04-30 07:01:01 +00:00
Celes Renata 601b85764b fix: mount stonks-market-secrets on query-api for backfill endpoint
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2026-04-30 06:33:26 +00:00
Celes Renata 51b6f3d34a ci: trigger rebuild
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2026-04-30 06:24:05 +00:00
Celes Renata bddaf44ffc feat: 90-day price range Y-axis scaling with breakthrough annotations
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Backend:
- GET /api/market/prices/{ticker} now returns { bars, range_90d }
  with 90-day low/high computed from market_snapshots
- POST /api/market/backfill/{ticker} fetches 90 days of daily bars
  from Polygon and inserts missing bars into market_snapshots
- POST /api/market/backfill-all does the same for all active tickers

Frontend:
- Right Y-axis domain scaled to 90-day min/max (with 3% padding)
- Green dashed reference line at 90-day high
- Red dashed reference line at 90-day low
- Labels show exact price on each reference line
- Default limit bumped to 200 bars
2026-04-30 06:09:05 +00:00
Celes Renata 5209cc522e feat: enhanced paper trading reset with capital and reserve controls
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- Add initial capital input (toggle between broker balance or custom amount)
- Add reserve/active pool split slider (0-50%, default 20%)
- Backend accepts reserve_pct in reset request body
- Note in UI that Alpaca balance reset requires Alpaca dashboard
- Confirmation dialog shows exact capital and split being applied
2026-04-30 05:49:38 +00:00
Celes Renata fa18b1a7c2 fix: populate broker and market API secrets in base values.yaml
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ArgoCD was syncing empty secrets back over manual patches.
Credentials now match stonks-paper (same Alpaca paper + Polygon keys).
2026-04-30 05:05:43 +00:00
Celes Renata 4b254adad2 fix: scale ingestion and extractor to 1 replica in prod
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2026-04-30 05:04:20 +00:00
Celes Renata af2e554edd fix: switch ai_agents seed from vllm to ollama qwen3.5:9b-fast
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Live DB already updated via direct SQL. This ensures future
DB rebuilds and new deployments use ollama as the default provider.
2026-04-30 04:46:04 +00:00
Celes Renata facce5dbb5 fix: add TTL and backoffLimit to market-hours-check jobs
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Prevents accumulation of completed/failed verification jobs.
- ttlSecondsAfterFinished: 3600 (auto-cleanup after 1h)
- backoffLimit: 0 (no retries on intentional market-hours failure)
2026-04-30 04:33:50 +00:00
Celes Renata 2f2c0d24f6 fix: remove unused columns constant (TS6133)
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v0.1.0
2026-04-30 03:21:32 +00:00
Celes Renata 861423c1e3 feat: make ticker clickable on positions page — links to company detail
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Ticker column now links to /companies/{id} using a ticker→company ID
lookup. Falls back to plain text if company not found.
2026-04-30 03:15:22 +00:00
Celes Renata 13f863ef30 feat: fetch 15-minute bars instead of hourly for intraday prices
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Changed intraday_bars default from 1-hour bars to 15-minute bars.
This gives ~26 price points per trading day per ticker (6.5h market
× 4 bars/hour) instead of ~7 hourly bars. Limit raised to 100 to
accommodate the higher bar count.
2026-04-29 23:01:11 +00:00
Celes Renata 2538da3f1e fix: switch market data sources from prev_bars to intraday_bars
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The market_api sources were configured with endpoint='prev_bars' which
only fetches a single previous-day bar per ticker. Changed to
'intraday_bars' which fetches hourly bars for today from Polygon's
/v2/aggs/ticker/{ticker}/range/1/hour/{today}/{today} endpoint.

Updated: seed script, beta DB (50 sources), production DB (50 sources).
This gives ~7-8 hourly price bars per trading day per ticker instead
of 1 daily bar.
2026-04-29 22:07:47 +00:00
Celes Renata fa4ad6b15a fix: widen price matching tolerance for sparse market data
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Only ~9 price bars per ticker (Polygon returns daily bars, not
intraday). Widened gap tolerance to 6h for intraday, 12h for 1d,
etc. Also skip time-range filtering when price data is sparse
(≤20 bars) to avoid showing no prices at all.
2026-04-29 22:02:23 +00:00
Celes Renata 5109c85a3e fix: remove unused 'hour' variable (TS6133)
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2026-04-29 21:48:18 +00:00
Celes Renata 9975c2098b fix: limit X-axis to 8 ticks with date bold + time at angle
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Was showing every data point timestamp. Now:
- Recharts generates max 8 evenly-spaced ticks
- Each tick shows 'Apr 29' in bold white + '2 PM' in gray
- All labels at -35° angle to avoid overlap
- Simplified tick component (no hour-boundary filtering needed)
2026-04-29 21:43:44 +00:00
Celes Renata e976363259 ci: retrigger build
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2026-04-29 21:34:34 +00:00
Celes Renata b6e2718007 feat: proper time-based X-axis with angled hour labels and bold dates
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Replaced string-based X-axis with numeric timestamp axis:
- Custom ChartXTick component renders hour marks at -35° angle
- New day boundaries shown in bold (e.g., 'Apr 29')
- Hour marks shown as '9:00 AM', '10:00 AM' etc.
- Tooltip shows full date+time on hover
- Direction timeline uses formatted timestamps
- Bottom margin increased to accommodate angled labels
2026-04-29 21:26:11 +00:00
Celes Renata cb3eb230d6 fix: fetch trend history per-window and run aggregation 24/7
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Two fixes for missing intraday data:

1. Frontend: lifted selectedWindow state to page level so useTrendHistory
   passes window param to the API. Previously fetched all windows with
   limit=500 which exhausted the limit before reaching recent intraday
   data. Now fetches only the selected window's data.

2. Scheduler: removed market-hours-only restriction from periodic
   aggregation. Runs every 15 minutes 24/7 so intraday data is always
   populated for backtesting regardless of market state.
2026-04-29 21:11:46 +00:00
Celes Renata 963a5c462c feat: syntax-highlight decision trace JSON on order detail page
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Add lightweight JSON highlighter for the decision trace panel:
- Keys: cyan
- Strings: green
- Numbers: yellow
- Booleans: purple
- Null: red
- Structural chars: gray

SQL explorer already uses Monaco with SQL highlighting — no changes needed there.
2026-04-29 19:33:24 +00:00
Celes Renata 82892b7a3e feat: multi-distro support in deploy-docker.sh
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Step 0 now detects the OS and package manager, supporting:
- Debian/Ubuntu (apt)
- RHEL/Rocky/Fedora/CentOS (dnf/yum)
- Arch Linux (pacman)
- openSUSE (zypper)
- WSL (uses host Windows NVIDIA driver, skips driver install)

Handles Docker CE install, NVIDIA driver, NVIDIA Container Toolkit,
and firewall (firewalld + ufw) across all supported distros.
2026-04-29 18:59:40 +00:00
Celes Renata 6f54fd07fa feat: periodic aggregation every 15 minutes during market hours
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The aggregation engine only ran when new documents were ingested,
leaving intraday trend data stale for long periods. Now the scheduler
enqueues all 50 tickers for re-aggregation every ~15 minutes during
US market hours (Mon-Fri, 6:30 AM - 1:30 PM PT). This ensures
continuous intraday trend updates based on existing signals and
market price changes.
2026-04-29 18:27:49 +00:00
Celes Renata 99b7dcee98 fix: widen chart time windows for intraday (24h) and 1d (48h)
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Intraday was showing only 12h of data (9 sparse points). Widened to
24h to show a full day of intraday trend history. Also widened 1d
from 24h to 48h for better context.
2026-04-29 18:15:54 +00:00
Celes Renata 4f7358f4e3 feat: show current position on company detail trends tab
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Displays an 'Open Position' card above the trend charts when we hold
a position in that ticker. Shows shares, avg entry price, current
price, market value, and unrealized P&L with green/red coloring.
Card is hidden when no position exists for the ticker.
2026-04-29 18:06:37 +00:00
Celes Renata 0665cef7e3 fix: set TZ=America/Los_Angeles in Helm config for all pods
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Containers default to UTC. The host is PDT but pods don't inherit
the host timezone. Adding TZ to the ConfigMap ensures all services
log and compute timestamps in Pacific time.
2026-04-29 17:53:38 +00:00
Celes Renata 48eca672a9 docs: add TZ environment variable to Helm and Docker docs
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Document the TZ config option in both docker-deployment.md and
helm-reference.md. Default is America/Los_Angeles. Frontend uses
the browser's local timezone for display.
2026-04-29 17:50:59 +00:00
Celes Renata f159b20c87 feat: show document title and link in competitive signals panel
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Replace raw UUID with a linked document title in both the collapsed
row (using the empty space on the right) and the expanded detail view.
Uses useDocument hook to fetch the title, falls back to truncated UUID
while loading. Clicking the link navigates to the document detail page.
2026-04-29 17:29:26 +00:00
Celes Renata 97fe2249fe fix: extract competitive_signals array from API response wrapper
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The /api/patterns/{ticker}/competitive-signals endpoint returns
{competitive_signals: [...], count: N} but the hook was typed as
returning a raw array. The component called .map() on the object,
causing 'e.map is not a function'. Now extracts the array from the
response wrapper.
2026-04-29 17:20:03 +00:00
Celes Renata 951b733ac3 fix: move cutoffTs declaration before its use in filtered
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Variable was used before declaration (temporal dead zone error).
Moved windowHours/hoursBack/cutoffTs above the filtered const that
references cutoffTs.
2026-04-29 17:08:36 +00:00
Celes Renata 531e33b0ce fix: company charts X-axis now adjusts to selected window time range
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The trend history chart was showing all historical data regardless of
which window was selected — only filtering by window name but not by
time range. Now filters both trend data and price data to the time
range matching the selected window (e.g., 7d shows last 7 days only,
30d shows last 30 days).
2026-04-29 16:59:23 +00:00
Celes Renata 24c753f6e6 fix: debounce ticker search on Trends page to preserve input focus
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The TickerFilter triggered a query on every keystroke, causing re-renders
that stole focus from the input. Now uses a local input state with a
300ms debounce before updating the query, keeping focus on the text box
while typing.
2026-04-29 16:54:19 +00:00
Celes Renata 6880f11c26 fix: add /no_think inline tag to disable Qwen3 thinking mode
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chat_template_kwargs isn't being respected by the vLLM deployment.
Qwen3 models support /no_think as an inline suffix in the user message
to disable thinking mode. This is the most reliable method across all
serving backends (vLLM, Ollama, SGLang).
2026-04-29 16:11:44 +00:00
Celes Renata eead4f1381 fix: disable thinking mode on vLLM path with chat_template_kwargs
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The thesis rewriter uses vLLM (not Ollama) in production. The previous
fix only added think=False to the Ollama payload. For vLLM's
OpenAI-compatible API with Qwen3 models, thinking mode is disabled via
chat_template_kwargs: {enable_thinking: false} in the request body.
2026-04-29 16:04:04 +00:00
Celes Renata 007189c0a5 fix: handle plain-text thinking blocks and disable think mode
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The model outputs 'Thinking Process:' as plain text (not in <think> tags).
Updated _strip_thinking_block to handle both XML tags and plain-text
reasoning patterns. Also:
- Added rule 7 to system prompt: 'Do NOT show your thinking process'
- Set think=False in Ollama payload to disable Qwen3 thinking mode
- Added fallback regex to extract thesis from after thinking blocks
2026-04-29 15:50:49 +00:00
Celes Renata f9ee1532dc fix: strip <think> reasoning blocks from thesis LLM output
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Qwen3.5 in thinking mode emits <think>...</think> chain-of-thought
before the actual response. The thesis rewriter was returning the raw
output including the entire reasoning block. Now strips thinking tags
from both Ollama and vLLM response paths.
2026-04-29 15:25:04 +00:00
Celes Renata ac29e62033 docs: update equations.md with probabilistic pipeline formulas
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Add sections 1B, 2B, 3B, 4B, 5B, 7B covering all new probabilistic
formulas: sigmoid gate, info gain, adaptive decay, regime multiplier,
source accuracy, Bayesian posterior, entropy direction, weighted
disagreement entropy, multiplicative macro exposure, conditional macro
integration, graph-distance attenuation, EW momentum, and EV gate.
Updated constants summary with all new parameters.
2026-04-29 15:12:47 +00:00
Celes Renata 7eecd71a0d ci: retry build (proxy timeout on previous run)
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2026-04-29 12:08:15 +00:00
Celes Renata bb40a3cb8e fix: position sync now reconciles — removes positions broker no longer holds
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The sync_positions loop only upserted positions from Alpaca but never
deleted DB rows for positions that were closed/liquidated on the broker
side. After a paper reset, the next sync would not remove the stale
positions because they simply weren't in Alpaca's response anymore.

Now performs full reconciliation: after upserting what Alpaca reports,
deletes any DB positions for the account that Alpaca no longer holds.
2026-04-29 12:02:57 +00:00
Celes Renata 4e010bc048 feat: signal math upgrade — probabilistic, regime-aware scoring pipeline
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Implement full probabilistic signal processing pipeline gated behind
probabilistic_scoring_enabled feature flag in risk_configs:

- Bayesian log-likelihood accumulator with Beta posterior and entropy
- Regime detector (trend-following, panic, mean-reversion, uncertainty)
- Source accuracy tracker with per-source historical prediction accuracy
- Sigmoid confidence gate replacing binary gate
- Information gain surprise weighting for rare events
- Adaptive recency decay with event-specific half-lives
- Regime multiplier replacing market context multiplier
- Weighted disagreement entropy for contradiction detection
- Multiplicative macro exposure with conditional integration
- Graph-distance attenuated competitive signal propagation
- Exponentially weighted momentum with volatility scaling
- Expected value recommendation gate

All changes backward-compatible: flag=false preserves exact current behavior.
New outputs stored in existing JSONB columns (no schema changes except
source_accuracy table via migration 034).

Tests: 26 property-based tests (14 correctness properties), 99 unit tests,
1789 total tests passing with zero regressions.
2026-04-29 11:41:48 +00:00
Celes Renata 8c3c1aab43 fix: pipeline stop now halts all workers and flushes queues
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Workers (ingestion, parser, extractor, aggregation, recommendation,
broker, lake-publisher) now check the pipeline:enabled Redis flag on
each loop iteration and sleep when disabled.

The toggle endpoint flushes all pipeline queues on disable so queued
jobs don't resume when workers eventually check. Broker/trading queues
are excluded from flush to avoid dropping in-flight orders.
2026-04-29 07:59:35 +00:00
Celes Renata cfcfd655e7 fix: reduce max_tokens to 2048 to fit 8192 context window
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2026-04-29 06:18:26 +00:00
Celes Renata aaf8cee927 feat: scale extractor to 8 replicas
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2026-04-29 05:54:00 +00:00
Celes Renata f264e924f0 fix: thesis rewriter now routes to vLLM when provider is vllm
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- thesis_llm.py: add _call_vllm_thesis() using /v1/chat/completions
- thesis_llm.py: check resolved model_provider and route accordingly
- values.yaml: set OLLAMA_BASE_URL to http://10.1.1.12:2701
2026-04-29 05:42:10 +00:00
Celes Renata a36702e5f3 fix: restore REDIS_PASSWORD and MINIO credentials
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2026-04-28 22:02:50 -07:00
Celes Renata 01d77c153d fix: set POSTGRES_PASSWORD in core secrets
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2026-04-28 21:59:30 -07:00
Celes Renata 8d227b62f6 scale extractor to 4 replicas
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2026-04-28 21:54:38 -07:00
Celes Renata b38fb24f14 fix: ensure production uses DB-configured model/provider from UI
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- Migration 026: update seed defaults from ollama to vllm/AxionML
- Migration 031: fix existing rows still on old ollama defaults
- Helm values: set OLLAMA_BASE_URL to cluster ollama endpoint (was empty)
- Extractor: guard against switching to ollama when base_url is empty
- OllamaClient: validate base_url on construction to fail fast
2026-04-29 04:33:21 +00:00