stonks-oracle/.kiro/specs/model-validation-calibration/.config.kiro at db82b8a02508a83435e34857998782f0f8eca880 - stonks-oracle - Gitea: Git with a cup of tea

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Celes Renata 7fcc8a6c07 feat: model validation, calibration, and signal quality layer

- Migration 035: prediction_snapshots, prediction_outcomes, signal_evidence_links, model_metric_snapshots tables + SQL views
- Prediction snapshot writer with canonical evidence keys, duplicate detection, contribution scores
- Outcome evaluator across 5 horizons (1h, 6h, 1d, 7d, 30d)
- Metrics engine: ECE, Brier score, IC, Rank IC, benchmark comparison
- Attribution engine: per-source, per-catalyst, per-layer performance
- Calibration engine: Bayesian shrinkage source reliability
- Quality gate for live trading eligibility with configurable thresholds
- 7 new /api/validation/* endpoints
- Upgraded OpsModel dashboard with validation tab
- Enhanced recommendation display with calibration context
- Backtest replay validation mode
- 86 Python tests (unit + property-based), 179 frontend tests passing

2026-05-01 03:04:58 +00:00

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{"specId": "b595d834-7e72-4fab-87a9-65c92115a069", "workflowType": "requirements-first", "specType": "feature"}