22 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Celes Renata d9110d03a6 fix: use di.document_id instead of dir.document_id in evidence query
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document_impact_records has intelligence_id, not document_id.
The document_id lives on document_intelligence.
2026-05-01 04:06:55 +00:00
Celes Renata 7fcc8a6c07 feat: model validation, calibration, and signal quality layer
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- Migration 035: prediction_snapshots, prediction_outcomes, signal_evidence_links, model_metric_snapshots tables + SQL views
- Prediction snapshot writer with canonical evidence keys, duplicate detection, contribution scores
- Outcome evaluator across 5 horizons (1h, 6h, 1d, 7d, 30d)
- Metrics engine: ECE, Brier score, IC, Rank IC, benchmark comparison
- Attribution engine: per-source, per-catalyst, per-layer performance
- Calibration engine: Bayesian shrinkage source reliability
- Quality gate for live trading eligibility with configurable thresholds
- 7 new /api/validation/* endpoints
- Upgraded OpsModel dashboard with validation tab
- Enhanced recommendation display with calibration context
- Backtest replay validation mode
- 86 Python tests (unit + property-based), 179 frontend tests passing
2026-05-01 03:04:58 +00:00
Celes Renata 6880f11c26 fix: add /no_think inline tag to disable Qwen3 thinking mode
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chat_template_kwargs isn't being respected by the vLLM deployment.
Qwen3 models support /no_think as an inline suffix in the user message
to disable thinking mode. This is the most reliable method across all
serving backends (vLLM, Ollama, SGLang).
2026-04-29 16:11:44 +00:00
Celes Renata eead4f1381 fix: disable thinking mode on vLLM path with chat_template_kwargs
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The thesis rewriter uses vLLM (not Ollama) in production. The previous
fix only added think=False to the Ollama payload. For vLLM's
OpenAI-compatible API with Qwen3 models, thinking mode is disabled via
chat_template_kwargs: {enable_thinking: false} in the request body.
2026-04-29 16:04:04 +00:00
Celes Renata 007189c0a5 fix: handle plain-text thinking blocks and disable think mode
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The model outputs 'Thinking Process:' as plain text (not in <think> tags).
Updated _strip_thinking_block to handle both XML tags and plain-text
reasoning patterns. Also:
- Added rule 7 to system prompt: 'Do NOT show your thinking process'
- Set think=False in Ollama payload to disable Qwen3 thinking mode
- Added fallback regex to extract thesis from after thinking blocks
2026-04-29 15:50:49 +00:00
Celes Renata f9ee1532dc fix: strip <think> reasoning blocks from thesis LLM output
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Qwen3.5 in thinking mode emits <think>...</think> chain-of-thought
before the actual response. The thesis rewriter was returning the raw
output including the entire reasoning block. Now strips thinking tags
from both Ollama and vLLM response paths.
2026-04-29 15:25:04 +00:00
Celes Renata 4e010bc048 feat: signal math upgrade — probabilistic, regime-aware scoring pipeline
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Implement full probabilistic signal processing pipeline gated behind
probabilistic_scoring_enabled feature flag in risk_configs:

- Bayesian log-likelihood accumulator with Beta posterior and entropy
- Regime detector (trend-following, panic, mean-reversion, uncertainty)
- Source accuracy tracker with per-source historical prediction accuracy
- Sigmoid confidence gate replacing binary gate
- Information gain surprise weighting for rare events
- Adaptive recency decay with event-specific half-lives
- Regime multiplier replacing market context multiplier
- Weighted disagreement entropy for contradiction detection
- Multiplicative macro exposure with conditional integration
- Graph-distance attenuated competitive signal propagation
- Exponentially weighted momentum with volatility scaling
- Expected value recommendation gate

All changes backward-compatible: flag=false preserves exact current behavior.
New outputs stored in existing JSONB columns (no schema changes except
source_accuracy table via migration 034).

Tests: 26 property-based tests (14 correctness properties), 99 unit tests,
1789 total tests passing with zero regressions.
2026-04-29 11:41:48 +00:00
Celes Renata 8c3c1aab43 fix: pipeline stop now halts all workers and flushes queues
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Workers (ingestion, parser, extractor, aggregation, recommendation,
broker, lake-publisher) now check the pipeline:enabled Redis flag on
each loop iteration and sleep when disabled.

The toggle endpoint flushes all pipeline queues on disable so queued
jobs don't resume when workers eventually check. Broker/trading queues
are excluded from flush to avoid dropping in-flight orders.
2026-04-29 07:59:35 +00:00
Celes Renata f264e924f0 fix: thesis rewriter now routes to vLLM when provider is vllm
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- thesis_llm.py: add _call_vllm_thesis() using /v1/chat/completions
- thesis_llm.py: check resolved model_provider and route accordingly
- values.yaml: set OLLAMA_BASE_URL to http://10.1.1.12:2701
2026-04-29 05:42:10 +00:00
Celes Renata a6189fce6b fix: skip LLM thesis rewrite for informational/suppressed recs to prevent queue buildup 2026-04-17 19:29:41 +00:00
Celes Renata 7736554988 fix: recommendation worker now respects thesis-rewriter active=false toggle 2026-04-17 19:22:31 +00:00
Celes Renata 419cf7558a fix: evidence articles missing on recommendations + Lucide title prop CI failure
- recommendation worker: filter out non-UUID document IDs (synthetic
  pattern:* IDs from competitive signals) before inserting into
  recommendation_evidence table — the uuid cast was failing and
  silently dropping all evidence rows
- wrap executemany in try/except so partial failures don't lose all evidence
- SqlExplorer: wrap Lucide icons in <span title=...> instead of passing
  title prop directly (not supported by lucide-react, broke CI build)
2026-04-17 07:10:21 +00:00
Celes Renata 7c23c044d7 feat: agent variants — migration, API, service integration, frontend, tests
- Migration 027: agent_variants table with single-active enforcement,
  variant_id column on agent_performance_log
- API: full CRUD, clone from agent/variant, activate/deactivate,
  per-variant performance metrics and history endpoints
- Services: extractor, event classifier, thesis rewriter all wired
  to AgentConfigResolver with variant override support
- Frontend: variant list, comparison view, create/edit/clone forms,
  activate/delete actions on Agents page
- Tests: API tests + 5 property-based tests (single-active invariant,
  clone preservation, config resolution, slug determinism, update idempotence)
- Spec files for agent-variants feature
2026-04-17 05:15:42 +00:00
Celes Renata 6179382d1e feat: wire all 3 agents to DB config resolver
- Recommendation worker now resolves thesis-rewriter config from DB
  and passes ollama_config to generate_recommendation. Thesis rewriting
  is now active when the thesis-rewriter agent exists in ai_agents.
  Refreshes config every 50 jobs.

- Event classifier now resolves its own config separately from the
  document extractor via 'event-classifier' slug. Uses a separate
  OllamaClient when the model differs from the extractor. Refreshes
  alongside the extractor every 100 jobs.

- Document extractor was already wired (existing code).

- Added 8 unit tests for AgentConfigResolver covering: DB resolution,
  variant override, not-found, DB errors, TTL caching, cache refresh,
  and invalidation.
2026-04-17 02:59:40 +00:00
Celes Renata f11aa0a1ee fix: deduplicate recommendations and widen position sizing range
- Add dedup check in recommendation worker: skip generation when latest
  rec for same ticker+window has identical action/mode/confidence
- Widen position sizing range (1-10% portfolio, 0.3-2% max loss) and
  factor in trend strength + evidence count for differentiated sizing
- API returns only latest recommendation per ticker by default (DISTINCT ON)
  to eliminate duplicate rows in the frontend list view
2026-04-17 00:15:32 +00:00
Celes Renata d8ea58104c fix: lint errors (import sorting, unused vars) 2026-04-14 19:48:19 +00:00
Celes Renata f7a11d14ea feat: competitive intelligence & historical pattern matching layer 2026-04-14 19:42:48 +00:00
Celes Renata b478022ba3 fix: data quality query and suppression fallback in recommendation worker
- Fix _DATA_QUALITY_QUERY: remove nonexistent d.source_id/s.source_class,
  use d.source_type directly
- Fix LIMIT 1 applied after jsonb expansion by restructuring as CTE
- Fix fallback build_quality_context_from_summary returning empty
  source_types which always triggered LOW_SOURCE_DIVERSITY suppression
- Update test to reflect corrected fallback behavior
2026-04-14 06:57:46 +00:00
Celes Renata d16e15c885 phase 17: quote reserved word 'window' in all SQL queries across recommendation worker and query API 2026-04-12 03:45:51 -07:00
Celes Renata 109440c91e phase 15: fix ruff lint errors across services 2026-04-11 12:10:01 -07:00
Celes Renata ce10afa034 phase 14-15: docker build validation and helm deployment 2026-04-11 11:59:45 -07:00
Celes Renata ebea70573b phase 0+1: project scaffold, k8s manifests, CI pipeline, steering, hooks, tests
- Repository structure for all services, infra, lakehouse, dashboards
- K8s manifests targeting stonks-oracle namespace with GHCR images
- Ingress via Traefik with ca-issuer TLS for internal services
- ConfigMap wired to existing cluster services (pg, redis, minio, ollama)
- GitHub Actions workflow for lint, test, multi-service container builds
- Dockerfile with build-arg CMD per service
- Makefile for local build/push/deploy
- Steering rules for TDD workflow, K8s conventions, project context
- Agent hooks for lint-on-save, test-on-save, k8s-validate, phase-commit
- Ruff linter config, all lint issues fixed
- 14 passing tests for schemas, config, redis keys
- PostgreSQL migrations, Trino catalogs, Superset config, MinIO lifecycle
2026-04-11 03:25:08 -07:00