phase 14-15: docker build validation and helm deployment

2026-04-11 11:59:45 -07:00
parent 7394d241c9
commit ce10afa034
179 changed files with 32559 additions and 576 deletions
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+-- View: signal_hit_rate
+-- Daily summary of signal accuracy across all symbols and model versions.
+-- Designed for the Superset prediction accuracy dashboard.
+-- Requirements: 10.1, 10.2, 10.3
+-- Design ref: Section 9.2 (prediction confidence vs realized move)
+
+CREATE OR REPLACE VIEW lakehouse.stonks.signal_hit_rate AS
+SELECT
+    pvo.dt,
+    pvo.model_version,
+    COUNT(*)                                                AS total_predictions,
+    COUNT(CASE WHEN pvo.outcome = 'correct' THEN 1 END)    AS correct_predictions,
+    COUNT(CASE WHEN pvo.outcome = 'incorrect' THEN 1 END)  AS incorrect_predictions,
+    COUNT(CASE WHEN pvo.outcome = 'neutral' THEN 1 END)    AS neutral_predictions,
+    -- Hit rate
+    CAST(
+        COUNT(CASE WHEN pvo.outcome = 'correct' THEN 1 END) AS DOUBLE
+    ) / NULLIF(COUNT(*), 0)                                 AS hit_rate,
+    -- Average confidence of correct vs incorrect
+    AVG(CASE WHEN pvo.outcome = 'correct' THEN pvo.predicted_confidence END)
+                                                            AS avg_confidence_correct,
+    AVG(CASE WHEN pvo.outcome = 'incorrect' THEN pvo.predicted_confidence END)
+                                                            AS avg_confidence_incorrect,
+    -- Average realized move magnitude
+    AVG(ABS(pvo.actual_move_pct))                           AS avg_abs_move_pct,
+    AVG(pvo.actual_move_pct)                                AS avg_move_pct
+FROM
+    lakehouse.stonks.prediction_vs_outcome pvo
+GROUP BY
+    pvo.dt,
+    pvo.model_version;